Brent Benson

Guest Contributor

Stories by Brent Benson

Clinton outperformed Obama in Mass.

Clinton outperformed Obama in Mass.

Margin not enough to shift state legislative races

HILLARY CLINTON didn’t do as well on Election Day in most states as President Obama did in 2012  – except in a handful of spots, including Massachusetts. In fact, Clinton defeated Donald Trump by a larger margin in Massachusetts than Obama beat Senator John McCain in 2008. However, the size of the margin was not(...)

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Why Trump’s performance matters in Mass.

Why Trump’s performance matters in Mass.

Clinton expected to win, but her victory margin could influence legislative races

REPUBLICAN KATE CAMPANALE stunned the state’s political establishment in 2014 by winning the 17th Worcester district House seat, edging out Democrat Douglas Belanger by just 43 votes out of 9,750 cast. Campanale will face Democratic challenger Moses Dixon on November 8, after Dixon defeated Belanger in the September 8 Democratic primary. Campanale is in a(...)

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Polling expert analyzes midterm GOP gains

Says economic anxiety drove midterm results

Mark Blumenthal has been working in the political polling industry for 20 years, but his historical perspective goes back much further. “The party of the president has lost legislative seats in the sixth-year midterm in all but one case since reconstruction,” said Blumenthal in a talk on November 12 at Emerson College in downtown Boston.(...)

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Pollsters keep chasing elusive random sample

Fewer landlines, caller ID are problems

A group of top-tier pollsters gathered last Friday at a meeting of the New England chapter of the American Association for Popular Opinion Research to discuss the fractured state of the survey industry and the upcoming midterm elections. The pollsters, including Mike Mokrzycki (NBC Election Polling), Douglas Schwartz (Quinnipiac University Poll), Andrew Smith (UNH Survey(...)

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The GOP’s corner office strategy

The GOP’s corner office strategy

Drawing Democrats in big numbers has been the key to a winning formula

While Massachusetts ranks as one of the bluest states in the nation, giving the average Demo­cratic presidential nominee a 20-point advantage over his GOP rival in the last 14 elections, four of the Bay State’s last five governors have been Repub­li­cans—an intriguing paradox. With a wide-open race for governor looming in 2014, Republicans once again(...)

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