Posted inPolitics

Trump needs a debate win. Bigly.

DONALD TRUMP SORELY needs to turn in a strong debate performance this weekend. The last two weeks have brought a near-constant stream of bad news for the Republican candidate: After the first debate, every scientific poll showed Trump lost to Hillary Clinton by a wide margin. Trump made matters worse after the debate by spending […]

Posted inPolitics

Polling standards changing rapidly

THE AMERICAN ASSOCIATION of Public Opinion Research is a rather staid institution. Its annual conference is four days of panel discussions on complex statistical problems in the field. (Sample conference T-shirt slogan: “The Weighting is the Hardest Part.”)  Many association members are researchers and statisticians who conduct important government surveys such as the US Census, […]

Posted inOlympics

Olympics numbers don’t add up

BOSTON MAYOR MARTY WALSH and representatives of Boston 2024 have made claims about levels of public support for the idea of a Boston Olympics that are not supported by the numbers. Here are a few: Boston 2024 President Dan O’Connell said on WGBH’s Greater Boston, “I’ve sensed […] overwhelming support for pursuing this effort.” O’Connell […]