As promised, here is more data than is good for anyone. There may still be minor variations from official totals, but I think this is about 99% complete — except, of course, for states that haven’t voted yet. The first chart (click it for a bigger version) below is how our 10 States of American […]
Presidential election 2008
Posted inPolitics, The Download
Where the political earth moved, 1968
In our survey of recent presidential elections, we now reach 1968, which this year could be a scary historical parallel for either Republicans (incumbent party collapses in the midst of an unpopular war) or Democrats (party isn’t able to recover from a bitter and protracted nomination fight). The first map shows the drop in support […]
Posted inPolitics, The Download
Where the political earth moved in 1960
As we move into the 1960 election (see previous post on the 1948 election), one of our 10 States of American Politics clearly comes into view. The Northeast Corridor had been part of the Republican base since the Civil War, and Republican Tom Dewey carried it by some 25,000 votes over Harry Truman in 1948, […]
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Four maps: 1948 vs. 2004
As we progress through the presidential election year, I’ll be posting maps and spreadsheets showing how American political geography has changed over the past 60 years, and how those trends went into the making of the 10 Political Regions map. First, here are four very basic maps comparing 1948 with 2004 in terms of the […]
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The Judas factor in Massachusetts
Hub Blog weighs in on the "Judas" dust-up over Bill Richardson’s endorsement of Barack Obama despite his long involvement with the Clintons: James Carville defends his ‘Judas Iscariot’ attack on Bill Richardson and pronounces, ‘I believe that loyalty is a cardinal virtue.’ Actually, I’ve come to the conclusion that loyalty is the most abused and […]
Posted inEducation, Politics, The Download
Whatever happened to the Electoral College?
A commenter named Patience argues that Obama is more likely than Clinton to get a popular-vote mandate: I think the Democratic candidate will win in 2008, but I also think Barack Obama might have an interesting advantage on Election Day if he were the nominee: I suspect there would be massive turnout in Southern states […]
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What went into deciding the 10 regions?
Thanks again to Michael Barone for linking to the 10 Regions of American Politics. But Barone did say that some of the regions "don’t make much sense to me." That’s understandable; I haven’t had the time or resources to post all the data that led me to draw the boundaries on the 10 regions. I […]
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Will Massachusetts turn red in November?
Dave Leip’s Atlas of Presidential Election now has separate maps showing current state-by-state polls for an Obama-McCain matchup and a Clinton-McCain race. For what it’s worth, the aggregate of polls shows McCain now ahead of Clinton 223-169, with states amounting to 146 electoral votes too close to call. McCain leads Obama 252-191, with 92 electoral […]
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The 2004 Bush swing and the 2008 Democratic primaries
Welcome, Michael Barone readers. (My copy of his Almanac of American Politics is always near my computer.) To elaborate on the point that Barack Obama seems to be doing best in areas that already started to trend away from the Republican Party in 2004 — and that Hillary Clinton is doing best where there was […]
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Rejecting and denouncing rejecting and denouncing
The Atlantic‘s James Fallows can’t resist blogging about the American presidential campaign from China. This particular post is about the audacity of the Clinton campaign in getting its messages out via publications owned by Richard Sciafe, one of the leaders of the "vast right-wing conspiracy" that tried to hound Bill Clinton out of office in […]