Net-zero target called most aggressive in world

A handful of states, and somecountries have similar goal

GOV. CHARLIE BAKER’S top energy aide said his proposal for net-zero greenhouse gas emissions by 2050 puts Massachusetts among a very small group of states and countries attempting to limit the impact of climate change.

Kathleen Theoharides, the governor’s secretary of energy and environmental affairs, said Massachusetts is joining Hawaii, New York, and California  in pursuing net-zero emissions by 2050. A number of countries and foreign cities are also pursuing the same target, some on a faster timeline. (This paragraph was changed after initial publication to clarify efforts abroad.)

“This is the most aggressive goal that exists in the world,” Theoharides said.

Theoharides declined to say when Baker pulled the trigger on going for net-zero emissions by 2050, which he announced as part of his State of the State address Tuesday night. She said the idea emerged as part of an ongoing study her agency is conducting to figure out how to reach the previous goal – an 80 percent reduction in greenhouse gas emissions from 1990 levels. That study, being carried out by a group of consultants, is nicknamed the 80-50 study.

Shortly after the planning for that study got underway in August 2018, she said, a United Nations scientific panel released a report painting a far more dire picture of the consequences of climate change than earlier research. The report warned of worsening food shortages, spreading wildfires, and a mass die-off of coral reefs as early as 2040. To prevent the worst effects of climate change, the report said greenhouse gas emissions needed to be reduced significantly by 2030 and eliminated entirely by 2050.

According to state data, Massachusetts greenhouse gas emissions totaled 94.5 million metric tons in 1990. The goal for this year is 70.8 million metric tons and the goal for 2050 had been 18.8 million metric tons.

Theoharides said the idea of pursuing a net-zero goal was bandied about as part of the 80-50 study after the UN report was released in October 2018. The idea apparently moved to the fore fairly recently.

“There have been ongoing discussions that we’ve been having for a while,” Theoharides said, referring to net-zero. “The science was in a certain place in 2008 when the [Global Warming Solutions] law got passed, but the science got updated in 2018.”

Net-zero is an imprecise term. It doesn’t mean the state will cease all greenhouse gas emissions. It means, according to Theoharides, that the state will attempt to reduce emissions as much as possible through the development of renewable, low-emission forms of energy; aggressive energy efficiency programs; and sequestration efforts, including the development of new forests and wetlands. Theoharides said policies could also be developed that would allow polluters to offset their emissions by buying some form of credit, with the proceeds being used to produce more renewable energy generating fewer emissions.

The secretary acknowledged that the state’s economy is likely to change dramatically over the next few decades to meet the emission target. She said the roadmap for doing that will be laid out in the 80-50 study due out later this year. She also said the regional transportation climate initiative will play a crucial role, although TCI is facing pushback from governors in neighboring states and new poll results released on Wednesday by a group opposed to TCI raised questions about the level of support for the initiative here in Massachusetts.

Theoharides praised Baker for taking a leadership role on climate change. For a politician who 10 years ago sounded unsure whether climate change even existed, it is indeed an amazing transformation. But some environmental advocates are saying his net-zero goal is still too incremental and not aggressive enough.

Theoharides said she can implement the net-zero goal on her own without legislative action, but Sen. Marc Pacheco of Taunton is pushing the Legislature to codify the net-zero emissions 2050 goal. He said only by making the goal a law can Massachusetts residents feel comfortable that a future governor won’t change the policy.

Pacheco said he thinks the climate change legislation that will emerge from the Legislature (a Senate bill is being unveiled on Thursday) will represent the best policy in America, with interim emission targets and fewer exclusions from the greenhouse gas counting process.

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Bruce Mohl

Editor, CommonWealth

About Bruce Mohl

Bruce Mohl is the editor of CommonWealth magazine. Bruce came to CommonWealth from the Boston Globe, where he spent nearly 30 years in a wide variety of positions covering business and politics. He covered the Massachusetts State House and served as the Globe’s State House bureau chief in the late 1980s. He also reported for the Globe’s Spotlight Team, winning a Loeb award in 1992 for coverage of conflicts of interest in the state’s pension system. He served as the Globe’s political editor in 1994 and went on to cover consumer issues for the newspaper. At CommonWealth, Bruce helped launch the magazine’s website and has written about a wide range of issues with a special focus on politics, tax policy, energy, and gambling. Bruce is a graduate of Ohio Wesleyan University and the Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy at Tufts University. He lives in Dorchester.

About Bruce Mohl

Bruce Mohl is the editor of CommonWealth magazine. Bruce came to CommonWealth from the Boston Globe, where he spent nearly 30 years in a wide variety of positions covering business and politics. He covered the Massachusetts State House and served as the Globe’s State House bureau chief in the late 1980s. He also reported for the Globe’s Spotlight Team, winning a Loeb award in 1992 for coverage of conflicts of interest in the state’s pension system. He served as the Globe’s political editor in 1994 and went on to cover consumer issues for the newspaper. At CommonWealth, Bruce helped launch the magazine’s website and has written about a wide range of issues with a special focus on politics, tax policy, energy, and gambling. Bruce is a graduate of Ohio Wesleyan University and the Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy at Tufts University. He lives in Dorchester.

“It’s easy to say net-zero by 2050 when you’re not talking about how to get there. It’s very easy to set an inspirational goal, but when you have interim targets that you have to meet it makes it much more concrete,” he said.

Theoharides said she would have to see the legislation before saying whether she would support it.