PARENTS ACROSS MASSACHUSETTS are sharply divided along racial lines on how they want the next school year to unfold and whether schools have the ability to operate safely, according to a new poll by the MassINC Polling Group.
The questions on reopening were part of a larger statewide survey sponsored by The Barr Foundation and Boston Foundation conducted June 4-19, 2020. The survey featured 1,502 interviews with parents statewide, including oversamples of black, Latino, and Asian parents. Links to the topline and crosstabs are at the end of this story.
Overall, 64 percent of K-12 parents statewide are very or somewhat confident schools would be able to prevent the spread of coronavirus, while 32 percent say they are not too confident or not at all confident. Among black parents, just 48 percent are very or somewhat confident, while 44 percent of Latino parents say the same. White parents (69 percent) and Asian parents (64 percent) expressed higher confidence levels.
The oversamples of black, Latino, and Asian parents indicated large gender and income differences on schools reopening among black and Latino parents. Among black women (35 percent) and Latino women (32 percent), confidence in a safe reopening is very low, while black men (68 percent) and Latino men (62 percent) express far more confidence. Among white residents, there is no difference in confidence between men and women (both around 70 percent).
These differences in confidence extend to parents’ preferences for continuing distance learning vs returning for a modified school schedule, another question included in the survey. While the specific plans for reopening have not yet been released, potential plans include limited class sizes and modifying schedules to enable more social distancing.
Overall, 55 percent of parents statewide would prefer to see schools reopen with a modified schedule, while 31 percent say remote learning should continue until a normal schedule is possible. Once again, digging into this split finds stark differences by race, income, and geography.
Among white parents, 61 percent would prefer a modified schedule compared to just 26 percent who say distance learning should continue until a normal schedule can resume. Asian parents also prefer a modified schedule by a 51-29 margin. But black (45 percent) and Latino (36 percent) parents are much less likely to prefer a modified schedule.
Skepticism about a modified reopening is also widespread in the state’s Gateway Cities, where parents are split down the middle on the issue. A larger share of black and Latino residents live in Gateway Cities, and the cities also contain some of the most concentrated poverty in the state. Black and Latino residents with incomes under $75,000 are far more likely to express skepticism and less likely to support a modified reopening compared to black and Latino parents with higher income levels.
Some of these differences likely stem from direct personal and household experiences with COVID. Our earlier polling found 19 percent of black and Latino residents said someone in the household had experienced COVID symptoms, compared to 6 percent of white residents. Acute levels of economic distress widened these gaps still further. Parents in groups with more exposure to COVID are less likely to express confidence in schools’ reopening plans.
Meet the Author
President, MassINC Polling Group
About Steve Koczela
Steve Koczela is the President of The MassINC Polling Group, where he has grown the organization from its infancy to a nationally known and respected polling provider. During the 2014 election cycle, MPG conducted election polling for WBUR, the continuation of a three-year partnership. Koczela again led the endeavor, producing polls which came within one point of the margin in both the Massachusetts gubernatorial and U.S. Senate Elections. He was also lead writer for Poll Vault, WBUR’s political reporting section during the 2014 Election Cycle.
He has led survey research programs for the U.S. Department of State in Iraq, in key states for President Barack Obama’s 2008 campaign, and has conducted surveys and polls on behalf of many private corporations. Koczela brings a deep understanding of the foundations of public opinion and a wide ranging methodological expertise. He earned U.S. Department of State recognition for his leading edge work on sample evaluation in post conflict areas using geospatial systems.
Koczela is frequent guest on WBUR as well as many other news and talk programs in Massachusetts and elsewhere. His polling analysis is often cited in local, state, and national media outlets. He currently serves as President of the New England Chapter of the American Association for Public Opinion Research (NEAAPOR). Koczela holds a Master’s degree in Marketing Research from the University of Wisconsin and is a veteran of the war in Iraq.
About Steve Koczela
Steve Koczela is the President of The MassINC Polling Group, where he has grown the organization from its infancy to a nationally known and respected polling provider. During the 2014 election cycle, MPG conducted election polling for WBUR, the continuation of a three-year partnership. Koczela again led the endeavor, producing polls which came within one point of the margin in both the Massachusetts gubernatorial and U.S. Senate Elections. He was also lead writer for Poll Vault, WBUR’s political reporting section during the 2014 Election Cycle.
He has led survey research programs for the U.S. Department of State in Iraq, in key states for President Barack Obama’s 2008 campaign, and has conducted surveys and polls on behalf of many private corporations. Koczela brings a deep understanding of the foundations of public opinion and a wide ranging methodological expertise. He earned U.S. Department of State recognition for his leading edge work on sample evaluation in post conflict areas using geospatial systems.
Koczela is frequent guest on WBUR as well as many other news and talk programs in Massachusetts and elsewhere. His polling analysis is often cited in local, state, and national media outlets. He currently serves as President of the New England Chapter of the American Association for Public Opinion Research (NEAAPOR). Koczela holds a Master’s degree in Marketing Research from the University of Wisconsin and is a veteran of the war in Iraq.
Meet the Author
Research director, MassINC Polling Group
Understanding these differences by race, geography, and income are particularly important because they will impact some schools more than others. In wealthier school districts, enough parents may be confident enough to allow for reopening. In schools in lower income areas, where support for modified schedules is lower and most are not confident in school safety, reopening plans could encounter very strong skepticism and pushback.
Just 29 percent of parents overall say their school or district has asked for their feedback on reopening, while 68 percent say they have not been asked. Charter schools are most likely to have solicited feedback, with 56 percent of charter parents saying they have been asked about reopening preferences compared to 24 percent of public district school parents. Latino (71 percent) and Asian (79 percent) charter school parents were by far the most likely of all to say they have been asked for feedback about reopening.
Steve Koczela is the president and Maeve Duggan is the research director at the MassINC Polling Group.
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