Stats and spreadsheets from the Democratic primaries so far

As promised, here is more data than is good for anyone. There may still be minor variations from official totals, but I think this is about 99% complete — except, of course, for states that haven’t voted yet. The first chart (click it for a bigger version) below is how our 10 States of American Politics have voted so far. (See a map of the boundaries in the left column of the website or get a larger PDF here.) Note that Obama is slightly ahead in the popular vote but is only winning three regions. However, he might be ahead in Frontier if the votes from Kansas were available by county, and it’s likely he’ll pull ahead anyway when the results from Montana, Oregon, and South Dakota come in. Another close region is the Northeast Corridor, and Obama could close the gap there if he does well enough in the Philadelphia area in the Pennsylvania primary later this month.

(Also note: I did include vote totals from Florida and from Michigan, where Obama was not on the ballot but his supporters were encouraged to vote "uncommitted." This does not mean that I’m arguing that those two nonbinding primaries should be used to seat delegates; I’m simply including whatever data is available from each state.)

The second chart is an update to an earlier post about the gap between counties where George W. Bush significantly improved his vote when running for re-election in 2004 (which Clinton is winning solidly) and counties where Bush did worse than he had in 2000 (where Obama is the clear favorite).

If the summaries are not enough, you can get county-by-county results by downloading the Excel spreadsheet here (be warned, it will take a LONG time): Download 2008primariesbycountysimple.xls (876.5K). Or just download the PDF, which is much quicker, here: Download 2008primariesbycountysimple.pdf (482.5K)